Rapid Rouge (#5) figures to attract support as he drops slightly in class off the claim by Gary Gullo. While it’s not easy to claim off Rudy Rodriguez, at least this horse has been in relatively good form lately and is getting a positive rider switch today.
Nevada Kid (#4) is a difficult read, but he still must considered one of the primary contenders. After rebounding with an improved performance two back, he could not duplicate that effort when stretched out in distance and stepped up in class last time. This is a more realistic spot, but he’s still not the easiest horse to trust.
Even Saint Finian (#8), who scratched out of an easier spot on Wednesday, is not out of this as he turns back in distance. However, the Pace Projector indicates that he may be up against it if he drops too far off the pace.
Our top selection is MARCH TOO (#2).
This runner has had major excuses in his last two starts, enduring very wide trips both times. We believe he’s in better form than it appears for Ed Barker. He should like the stretch-out to seven furlongs, a distance at which he’s been successful in the past. He gets a rider upgrade to Irad Ortiz and has shown that he’s perfectly capable of sitting closer to the pace when the fractions are slow, which figures to be the case here. Today, March Too is drawn down on the inside and figures to work out a ground-saving trip.
Exacta Key Box: 2 with 4,5,8