This is an intriguing feature in which not one of the five runners entered is without a chance.
Literata (#2) was installed as the morning line favorite, but we think she’s up against it in this spot. She was most recently beaten by runners that are inferior to her toughest rivals today and is stepping up in class. We do think she’s better-suited to one-turn races, so the turnback helps, but we still believe she has her work cut out for her.
We’re more afraid of Perfect Freud (#3), who really came to hand for Gary Sciacca this winter. She even got the better of Storied Lady two back, when she was allowed to get away to a clear lead, earning a field-best speed figure of 114. She’s projected to be in front once again, but she figures to receive pressure from the typically speedy Carameaway and stretching-out sprinter Isabelle. She shouldn’t be taken lightly, but we prefer the mare drawn just to her outside.
We believe that STORIED LADY (#4) is clearly the horse to beat.
She easily got the better of today’s rival Perfect Freud on February 7 before stepping up to try open stakes company in the Heavenly Prize last time. That race was run on March 5, a day that featured a strong gold rail, and Storied Lady was hampered by racing wide every step of the way. She had previously been in excellent form, and a return to her efforts from earlier this winter should beat this field. The only potential knock against her is that she has historically done her best running over the inner track. While we don’t dispute that fact, she has occasionally run well enough in one-turn races for us to give her a chance to redeem herself at this distance.
Exacta: 4 with 2, 3