Buckskin Doll (#5) is the horse to beat as she drops in class to this bottom-level conditioned claimer. However, she got an absolutely perfect trip when she earned that flashy 88 speed figure two races back, and it’s not as if her other recent figures give her any significant edge over this field. Given what should be a short price, we want to take a small shot against her in this spot.
Four horses in this race exit the sixth race on March 3. Of those, Pearls for Girls (#1) is likely to attract support based on her runner-up finish. Given the speed-deficient composition of this field, she is projected to be sent out to the lead from her inside post position in a situation favoring the frontrunner. However, we prefer a few horses that finished behind her that day.
Make Your Point (#7) ran slightly better than it appears, considering that she was somewhat wide around the turn and could never quite find a clear path while racing in behind horses for much of the stretch drive.
We respect the aforementioned runners, but our top pick is long shot GETHOT STAYHOT (#6).
This filly finished last in the March 3 event, but we feel that she deserves another chance. After showing uncharacteristic early speed, she was forced to race four-wide all the way around the far turn. Jose Ortiz, apparently sensing that his mount’s chances had been severely compromised by their trip, never really got into her in the stretch. Gethot Stayhot had given a better account of herself in her first start off the layoff back in February, so we’re willing to be forgiving of that last outing. Though she still needs to improve slightly to come out on top today, it’s not as if she’s so much slower than her competitors that she deserves to go off as high as her morning line price of 15/1. Jackie Davis and John Toscano have enjoyed a fruitful partnership at this meet, and we’re hoping that they can find success once again with this late runner.
Exacta Key Box: 6 with 1,5,7