On The Contrary: Santa Anita’s Most Playable Longshots on Thursday


>>Thursday March 17th| Go To TFUS PPs for today’s races at Santa Anita

Note: The goal of “On The Contrary” is to point out several horses every day who may be overlooked in the wagering and who can possibly add value to trifectas and superfectas (in high holes and low) and to Pick 3s, Pick 4s, etc. We will not be making “selections” per se in “On the Contrary.” Rather, we’ll encourage readers to give extra consideration to certain horses who may seem a little overmatched at first glance–but who are in fact the type of horses we often build our bets around. >>See related interview on betting longshots.

Race 1:

Bully Pulpit:

6-1 on ML:

We prefer this one on grass over dirt. Draws perfectly and should save all the ground. Has a strong speed figure on grass and looks like a trifecta threat if managing to avoid a speed duel with Start a Runnin.

Race 2:

Saint Dermot:

6-1 on ML:

This gelding is not overflowing with talent, but he ran a little bit better than looked last time and looks like a prime candidate to make a late run into the bottom of exotics.

Race 4:

Seattle Salt:

15-1 on ML:

Looks awful on paper and has been training poorly. However, she draws the perfect post, and Pace Projector shows her on a clear early lead. She handles turf. Will need to find her way back to her form from March of last year to make any kind of dent on this race, but the price should be huge. We would not touch her unless her odds sail well above the ML.

Race 8:

Maid Easy:

8-1 on ML:

Goes 3rd off the layoff after solid performances in her last two. Can get into the trifecta with any kind of step forward.

Racing Hope:

20-1 on ML:

Highly speculative filly has of late been training better than she has been racing. She has old races that are not completely hopeless as far as getting into the super here.  Need huge price to touch this one.

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