On The Contrary: Santa Anita’s Most Playable Longshots on Sunday


>>Sunday March 6th| Go To TFUS PPs for today’s races at Santa Anita

Note: The goal of “On The Contrary” is to point out several horses every day who may be overlooked in the wagering and who can possibly add value to trifectas and superfectas (in high holes and low) and to Pick 3s, Pick 4s, etc. We will not be making “selections” per se in “On the Contrary.” Rather, we’ll encourage readers to give extra consideration to certain horses who may seem a little overmatched at first glance–but who are in fact the type of horses we often build our bets around. >>See related interview on betting longshots.

Race 1:

Alpine Luck:

9-2 on ML:

Has strong speed figures and the early speed to set up outside W. Giles. Looks solid for the trifecta at a decent price.

Race 2:

Karma King:

4-1 on ML:

This race was washed off the hill. Karma King handles dirt beautifully and figures to get a friendly outside pressing trip. Repeat of 107 speed figure would be hard to handle.

Race 4:

Cool Hunter:

10-1 on ML:

First-time starter has trainer and breeding strikes against him, but Puype uses one of his favorite riders here (95 rating in combination), and this gelding has shown some ability in the morning. We would not exclude from exotics at a price.

Race 5:

Rockport Kat:

8-1 on ML:

Inconsistent gelding can get into lower exotics at a price if he shows up.

Race 6:

One More Round:

12-1 on ML:

Speedster ran a huge number last time and can clear off early from this post on the stretch-out for a sharp trainer.

Race 7:

Being There:

12-1 on ML:

Dirt numbers fit just fine. Chancy gelding will have to handle the circuit switch but can possibly make late run into exotics in race projected to have a hot pace.

Race 8:

Claudia Mae:

15-1 on ML:

Showed talent up north on synthetic and can run with these if she handles dirt. Breeding Ratings suggest dirt should be OK. Pace Projector predicts the pace will favor her style.

Race 9:

Blix Curve:

6-1 on ML:

Running style is all wrong for winning this, but he looks very good to make a late run into the trifecta.

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