Note: The goal of “On The Contrary” is to point out several horses every day who may be overlooked in the wagering and who can possibly add value to trifectas and superfectas (in high holes and low) and to Pick 3s, Pick 4s, etc. We will not be making “selections” per se in “On the Contrary.” Rather, we’ll encourage readers to give extra consideration to certain horses who may seem a little overmatched at first glance–but who are in fact the type of horses we often build our bets around. >>See related interview on betting longshots.
6-1 on ML:
Handles the hill very well, draws perfectly, has been training well, fits on figures, and figures to establish good position early. He looks like a solid trifecta anchor.
12-1 on ML:
In light with rider whom the crowd will shun. Training decently off the short gap and has numbers that can play in here. Would not exclude from exotics at a price.
9-2 on ML:
First-time starter has his hands full with the two colts on the inside, but has been training decently for a competent trainer and may slip into the bottom of the trifecta or super. At a minimum he looks best of the three firsters in here.
15-1 on ML:
Shirreffs first-time starter has a tall task debuting in a grass route, and we do not love all the dirt works being followed by a grass debut, but she has trained as if she has talent and is certainly cut out to be a runner. We would include in exotics if the odds get above the ML.
50-1 on ML:
Forward-moving filly might be able to slip into the super with another step forward. Anything beyond the four-hole seems rather much to ask.
Dreaming of Gold:
7-2 on ML:
Has strong figures, is training well, and figures to be just fine with the cutback here. Superb trainer is back on track after a slow start to the meet.
15-1 on ML:
Can make late run for the trifecta at a big price.