Note: The goal of “On The Contrary” is to point out several horses every day who may be overlooked in the wagering and who can possibly add value to trifectas and superfectas (in high holes and low) and to Pick 3s, Pick 4s, etc. We will not be making “selections” per se in “On the Contrary.” Rather, we’ll encourage readers to give extra consideration to certain horses who may seem a little overmatched at first glance–but who are in fact the type of horses we often build our bets around. >>See related interview on betting longshots.
8-1 on ML:
Training well after dull performance 36 days ago. Handles dirt just fine. Although we have a hard time seeing him winning, we can see him making a lazy, no-threat run into the bottom of exotics at a price.
12-1 on ML:
We see him as totally overmatched on the win end. However, we also think he is slightly better than he looks on paper. Handles the distance. Rider is stubborn and tries hard. One to use underneath in trifectas if the odds are there, which they should be.
6-1 on ML:
Draws a nice post. Figures for a nice outside stalking trip in a race projected to have a soft pace. We like the way he handles this hill. A bit shy on talent but can get into the trifecta at a decent price.
15-1 on ML:
He is way overmatched. We’d need something like double the ML odds to be interested. But we have great respect for this trainer (his recent stats notwithstanding), and we like this gelding’s lone grass try, and so, it would seem, does his trainer. Would not exclude from superfecta at huge price.
6-1 on ML:
Ran better than it looks in her debut and came back to train very well. Strongly suspect there is talent here.
20-1 on ML:
Back on the grass and in very light. Figures not all that far off of these, and odds should be very big. Would not eliminate from lower exotics.