Aqueduct Friday Highlight Horse: Lady Luciano is a threat to wire the 8th race

DontLetTheGamePassYouByfortfus

>>Aqueduct | Race 8| Friday February 26th | 4:50 EST | Go To The TimeformUS PPs

Screen Shot 2016-02-26 at 11.34.05 AM

Literata (#2) is likely to go favored in her first start for 100-rated first-off-the-claim trainer Rudy Rodriguez, who has been having a fantastic meet. It’s not as if he needs to improve this filly that much, since she had previously run a competitive 99 speed figure going a mile two back and last time may have been compromised by the shorter distance at six furlongs. The only knock that we can find is her overall lack of early speed, which may work against her in a race that the Pace Projector is projecting will favor the horses on or near the lead.

There are similar concerns around Daisy Cutter (#1), who is also likely to attract some support. She really woke up when switched back to dirt last time, making a long, sustained run to win a N1X allowance race going away late. The 97 speed figure that she earned puts her in the mix, but race dynamics may work against this deep closer.

Bella Joy (#6) has more speed than the two aforementioned runners and has run plenty of competitive speed figures in recent starts. She may be somewhat ignored on the board and is definitely worth including in exactas and trifectas.

However, our top pick is the runner that is likely to be most helped by the forecasted pace scenario, LADY LUCIANO (#3).

Screen Shot 2016-02-26 at 11.33.35 AM

Lady Luciano actually finished ahead of Literata last time at six furlongs. While that one is better at longer distances, we can say the same about this mare, who has registered all three of her career wins in two-turn races over the inner track. The stretch-out in distance should not pose a problem, and she has been steadily rounding back into her best form for John Toscano, who is in the midst of an excellent meet.

THE PLAY

WIN:  3
EXACTA:  3 with 1,2,6

This entry was posted in Race Previews. Bookmark the permalink.

Thoughts?

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s