On The Contrary: Santa Anita’s Most Playable Longshots on Sunday


>>Sunday February 21st | Go To TFUS PPs for today’s races at Santa Anita

Note: The goal of “On The Contrary” is to point out several horses every day who may be overlooked in the wagering and who can possibly add value to trifectas and superfectas (in high holes and low) and to Pick 3s, Pick 4s, etc. We will not be making “selections” per se in “On the Contrary.” Rather, we’ll encourage readers to give extra consideration to certain horses who may seem a little overmatched at first glance–but who are in fact the type of horses we often build our bets around. >>See related interview on betting longshots.

 Race 3:

Curlin Road:

8-1 on ML:

Although this is not our favorite barn, we do like this colt’s speed figures. We also like his improvement from race to race. He has yet to go backwards. Plus the Pace Projector shows him within striking distance early. Add it all up and we see him as an unlikely winner but a must-use underneath.

Race 4:

Ok Doll:

6-1 on ML:

She earned an 87 in her promising debut. Then she returned and ran a clunker. Returned to train beautifully for one of the sharpest trainers on the grounds. Down in class. Bejarano (who lands on a lot of horses who are training up a storm) takes the mount. We expect her effort today to look more like her debut than like her second start.

Race 7:


5-1 on ML:

Strong speed figures. Handles dirt. Versatile style. Speed to make the front if asked. Switches back to a terrific trainer. Training well over the surface.

Race 9:

Sharpest One:

8-1 on ML:

Throw out her last race. Then ignore her dull workout the other day. Then hope you’re right to have done this–because at her best she can run with these at a big price.

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