The Pace Projector clearly illustrates that this race is glaringly devoid of early speed types.
Aix En Provence (#7) was installed as the morning line favorite based primarily on her back class. However, she’s dropping in class after failing to show up at Gulfstream last time out. We don’t doubt that she’s better than that, but her lack of speed may work against her in this spot.
Just Got Out (#3) turns back in distance after getting rank in the early stages of slowly paced races around two turns. While we don’t deny that she’s run races that are good enough to beat this field, we’re turned off by the bad character traits she has developed as her form has tailed off.
The only horses that possess any natural early foot are Distinctive Lady (#2) and Liberty Fuze. Since we don’t love the claim away from Steve Klesaris for Distinctive Lady, we find ourselves gravitating towards the honest LIBERTY FUZE (#4).
Jackie Davis has ridden this mare aggressively in the past and should take advantage of the situation once again. Despite the fact that other horses are coming out of races against higher-priced claiming and allowance company, we think that Liberty Fuze has found herself in a great spot. She has run plenty of competitive speed figures and has won for today’s connections in the past. We don’t expect to get all of her 15/1 morning line price, but anything above 5/1 would be more than fair.
EXACTA Key Box: 4 with 2,3,7