On The Contrary: Santa Anita’s Most Playable Longshots on Thursday


>>Thursday February 4th | Go To TFUS PPs for today’s races at Santa Anita

Note: The goal of “On The Contrary” is to point out several horses every day who may be overlooked in the wagering and who can possibly add value to trifectas and superfectas (in high holes and low) and to Pick 3s, Pick 4s, etc. We will not be making “selections” per se in “On the Contrary.” Rather, we’ll encourage readers to give extra consideration to certain horses who may seem a little overmatched at first glance–but who are in fact the type of horses we often build our bets around. >>See related interview on betting longshots.

 Race 3:

Village Kitten:

6-1 on ML:

The downside is clear: He ran poorly off a long layoff last year, and he has not been impressive in preparation for this race. The upside is that he should be a price, and he has the talent to run with these. Would demand all of the ML and then some.


12-1 on ML:

Worth an exotics look going first turf off the claim and first grass while losing blinkers. Needs huge jump to contend, but seems reasonably likely to show some improvement today and maybe hit exotics at serious price.

Race 4:


12-1 on ML:

Received preposterous trip last time. Lacks talent, but we think he has more to show than he has shown so far. Would not exclude from exotics.

Race 5:

Rob’s Pal:

4-1 on ML:

Solid gelding looks like must-use in trifecta and a win would not surprise. Solid figures. Draws well. Pleasing style.


15-1 on ML:

Highly speculative gelding has talent that he has not displayed recently. Training well. Threat here if those grass jumps last year reflected ability rather than surface preference.

Race 7:

Street Vision:

6-1 on ML:

Improving colt would not need to improve all that much further to take this. Draws well. Training well. Will need to handle two turns.

Race 8:


8-1 on ML:

See him as must-use underneath. Hard to see him winning.

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