Note: The goal of “On The Contrary” is to point out several horses every day who may be overlooked in the wagering and who can possibly add value to trifectas and superfectas (in high holes and low) and to Pick 3s, Pick 4s, etc. We will not be making “selections” per se in “On the Contrary.” Rather, we’ll encourage readers to give extra consideration to certain horses who may seem a little overmatched at first glance–but who are in fact the type of horses we often build our bets around. >>See related interview on betting longshots.
Bad weather. Races hammered by scratches. Not a lot left. Let’s see:
8-1 on ML:
Handles dirt just fine. Proven in slop. Has solid speed figures.
5-1 on ML:
This ML seems unrealistic. Filly has improving speed figures. Ran a powerful race in tough circumstances last time. Returned to train in excellent fashion. Bejarano returns.
Zim N the Mailman:
12-1 on ML:
Handles dirt. Best recent dirt figures can play in here. Pace Projector shows him in striking position early. Looks like useful exotics horse at a price.