They’re probably going to make Swell (#2) the favorite as he makes his second start off the claim for Michelle Nevin. Though he was chasing the talented Eighty Three last time, that was not the same Eighty Three that we saw beat a deep allowance field last weekend, so we don’t want to give him too much credit for that effort, especially since this race comes up slightly tougher.
Dreamsdocometrue (#3) already ran well at this level last time, when overcoming excruciatingly slow early fractions to close for second. However, the Pace Projector is suggesting that this race, too, could favor horses on or near the lead.
For that reason, we’re going to take a shot with CORT (#6).
This runner broke his maiden for George Weaver at Gulfstream back in February 2015, earning a commendable 94 speed figure in the process. He was claimed out of that race and only returned just last month, on a day when speed and the rail had an advantage on the inner track. He broke slowly and just could never get into a comfortable position while always racing off the rail. Now he’s been claimed back by his original connections and is bumped up into a protected spot. Drawing the outside post, he should get away cleanly and may be able to take them all the way up front at a price.
EXACTA Key Box: #6 with 1,2,3