The horse to beat appears to be morning line favorite Memory Keeper (#4), who earned a strong 95 speed figure last time after contesting a fast pace. He’s clearly in the best form of his career right now and is projected to be racing out on a clear lead early. If he repeats his last race, he may be too good for these, but cheap claimers like this aren’t typically the most consistent runners, and we wouldn’t want to take too short of a price on anyone in this race.
While Rich Dalone (#10) has not run quite as fast as Memory Keeper, he has now finished in the money in two straight races at this level. Yet he is turning into somewhat of a money burner, usually getting well bet but failing to come out on top. However, he’s certainly an exacta or trifecta player.
Some may want to consider runners like My Tommy Boy (#5) and Bear Clause (#8), but we feel they’re coming out of a weaker race.
While we’re not dead-set against the logical contenders, there is a runner entered in this race that we have to bet at what figures to be a huge price.
FILE FOR DIVORCE (#9) may not look terribly appealing on screen, but we believe that this horse has run better than it appears on a number of occasions.
Going back to last winter at Aqueduct, he was badly compromised on December 28, 2014, when he made a wide, middle move on a day when the rail was very strong. He was again hampered in his next start when attempting to make a four-wide blitz around the far turn before tailing off and getting sent to the sidelines. Now he’s returning in the barn of a trainer that knows how to win on this circuit and has attracted the services of the capable Chris DeCarlo. We feel that this four-year-old is best sprinting, and it’s not as if he’s returning in the toughest spot. Today could be the day to catch him at a generous price.
EXACTA Key Box: #9 with 4,10