With obvious favorite Rock Garden having been withdrawn in favor of a maiden special weight race on Sunday, we imagine that the wagering public may now struggle with this race.
It seems likely that they’ll settle on Marakovits (#5) as the new favorite. She’s finished in the money twice at this level—though was disqualified for interference last time—and her recent speed figures of 70 are probably good enough to beat most of today’s rivals. We prefer her to Wiredancer (#10), who seems likely to come plodding along for another minor award.
However, we believe that both of those aforementioned fillies will have their work cut out for them against MADAME MAYBRY (#8) this time.
Madame Maybry makes her first start off the claim by John Toscano and is elevated to the $40,000 maiden claiming level despite failing for $25,000 last time. Toscano gets a 91 trainer rating with claimers being raised in price by 50% or more, so this vote of confidence may be significant. Madame Maybry was her own worst enemy at the start last time, when she tried to duck into the gap a few strides out of the gate and cost herself early position. Prior to that, she had run better than it might appear at first glance, while earning speed figures that are slightly faster than what Marakovits has been running. It also doesn’t hurt that Kendrick Carmouche takes the mount in light of his recent string of winning results.
We believe that Madame Maybry is set for her best performance yet. With Rock Garden out, a price around 5/2 would be generous.