Saturday Aqueduct Highlight Horse: Bird Prince (currently 9/1 on the board) can take down likely underlay Drum Roll in race 1

DontLetTheGamePassYouByfortfus

>>Aqueduct | Race 1 | Saturday January 2nd | 12:20 EST | Go To The TimeformUS PPs

Drum Roll (#2) comes off what is by far the highest last-out speed figure in the field, and the Pace Projector is predicting that he will be in a position to dictate terms up front in a situation favoring the leader. The one knock against him is that he earned that gigantic 113 speed figure while racing over the gold rail on December 19. That’s not to say that his prior races don’t make him good enough to beat these—because they do—but he is likely to going to be a shorter price than he truly deserves to be.

Point Hope (#3) comes into this race off two of his best efforts in quite some time. He earned a 108 speed figure two back when beating an overmatched group of $25,000 claimers, and then made a good late run to just miss getting up at seven furlongs last time. This closer is obviously in great form, but dynamics may work against him here as he tries to rally from the back of the pack.

Stay Tuned (#6), Chris Englehart’s other entrant in this race along with Drum Roll, disappointed going a mile at Parx last time, but has proven that he’s more effective sprinting. He was beating a weaker field in the mud when he last won, three back, and his surrounding races aren’t quite good enough to make him a win candidate today.

The only alternative that we can find to this heavy favorite is BIRD PRINCE (#4).

Screen Shot 2016-01-02 at 11.52.00 AM

This newly turned four-year-old has run somewhat competitive speed figures in the mid-90s recently and may have run a lot better than it appears in his last race. That day, Bird Prince raced four-wide almost all the way around the racetrack, traveling 55 more feet than the winner and a whopping 76 more feet than the runner-up. We like this turnback in distance and think Jose Ortiz will take advantage of his tactical speed to keep him in relatively close attendance to Drum Roll early. The price should be generous.

 

THE PLAY

 

Win bet on BIRD PRINCE (#4).

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