On The Contrary: Santa Anita’s Most Playable Longshots on Saturday

DontLetTheGamePassYouByfortfus

>>Saturday January 2nd | Go To TFUS PPs for today’s races at Santa Anita

Note: The goal of “On The Contrary” is to point out several horses every day who may be overlooked in the wagering and who can possibly add value to trifectas and superfectas (in high holes and low) and to Pick 3s, Pick 4s, etc. We will not be making “selections” per se in “On the Contrary.” Rather, we’ll encourage readers to give extra consideration to certain horses who may seem a little overmatched at first glance–but who are in fact the type of horses we often build our bets around. >>See related interview on betting longshots.

Race 2:

Gotnoquit:

6-1 on ML:

Lightly raced colt has improved with each start, has the fastest last-out speed figure in the field, and is proven around two turns. Draws good post here and Pace Projector shows him in striking distance early.

Race 5:

Dakota Kid:

20-1 on ML:

Her best speed figures—earned last winter—are not all that out of place against these. She goes 2nd off the layoff today, and she has been training splendidly for Ron Ellis. Ellis gets 100 rating with this rider. Can make late run into trifecta if she works out a trip.

Race 7:

Baby Blake:

15-1 on ML:

Made a series of starts on grass against tougher. Then switched to dirt, showed speed on a fast quarter, and ran a respectable race. Needs a step back toward his best to run with these, but it is not out of the question, and the price should be right.

Race 8:

Power Ped:

12-1 on ML:

Visually impressive in last start. Speed figures are competitive with those of most of his opponents. May appreciate cutback in distance. Training superbly for Drysdale.

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