Captain Serious (#5) is the horse to beat, but we’re not quite sure what to make of him in his third start since the layoff. His return two back in the Hudson was excellent. He was battling for the lead while racing on the worst part of the track on a day when the rail was dead. He never gave up, losing by a half-length to the classy Palace. However, last time, he sat a perfect trip stalking Green Gratto, but was totally empty in the lane. He was facing a tougher field that day, but we still would have preferred to see him put up more of a fight in the stretch.
Mewannarose (#2) stumbled badly at the start of his last race, which may have contributed to his lackluster performance. We like this horse, but we’re still waiting for him to get back to his form of a year ago, which saw him record speed figures of 116 and 118 while chasing Salutos Amigos home in a couple of stakes.
The most interesting runner in the race might be BOND VIGILANTE (#3).
Bond Vigilante ran the race of his life last time, drilling a decent field of New York-breds by simply running them off their feet. He earned an excellent 111 speed figure for the effort, and a few horses who have come back to win out of that race (Rectify, Drama King, and The Big Deluxe) suggest that the figure is legitimate. We love the confident placement by new trainer John Toscano (67 rating), who can certainly win off the claim (77 rating).
The Pace Projector is predicting a situation that favors horses on or near the lead, and we have to believe Kendrick Carmouche will come out looking for the lead. If Bond Vigilante gets to the front early and repeats his last performance, he’ll give Captain Serious a run for his money.
Win bet on BOND VIGILANTE (#3).
Exacta key box using BOND VIGILANTE (#3) with Mewannarose (#2) and Captain Serious (#5).