Cadeyrn (#6) took money in his debut and ran to it, finishing third and earning a strong 90 speed figure despite racing a little wide around the turn. He’s the horse to beat here, but we wonder whether the stretch-out in distance will really help him. His dam has produced primarily sprinters and is herself a half-sister to sprint champion Housebuster.
We’re not big fans of Patrick’s Day (#3), who benefitted from a very favorable pace setup two back and was alarmingly dull last time. Big Gillette (#4) will be looking to wire this field, but Cadeyrn may be quicker early and he’s had trouble finishing off his races going shorter. Shoot From the Hip (#7) is mildly interesting as he makes his second route attempt after stepping forward nicely when a distant third behind the promising Matt King Coal.
At a bit of a price, In Equality (#5) interests us more. He really moved forward with Lasix in his second start, though that race came on turf. There is a little more turf in his pedigree, but his dam was certainly capable of handling dirt. He undoubtedly has some talent and could be a contender if he handles the surface switch. He’s worth throwing into exactas and trifectas.
However, our top pick is Chad Brown’s second-time starter MUSICAL COMEDY (#2).
Exiting the same race as Cadeyrn, this horse was slow into stride and dropped far off the pace down the backstretch. He started to move around the far turn and made up some ground late. Though he only finished sixth, he continued on to gallop out ahead of the entire field past the wire. A son of It’s No Joke out of a Touch Gold mare, he should appreciate two turns. He didn’t take much money in his debut, which may suggest that he wasn’t really cranked to win that day. Chad Brown gets a 98 trainer rating with his second-time starters, and we expect a better performance out of this horse today.
Win bet on MUSICAL COMEDY (#2)
Exacta box keying MUSICAL COMEDY (#2) with In Equality (#5), Cadeyrn (#6), and Shoot From the Hip (#7).