Red Guard (#4) appears to be moving in the right direction for Shug McGaughey and comes off an easy maiden win. He’s one of the main players, but he may go favored here, and our fondness for him does not extend to taking him on top at a relatively short price.
Indebted (#8) comes back at the same level after winning in a similar spot last time. He got a sensational ride from Joel Rosario, who sensed the race shape changing down the backstretch and sent Indebted up to take the lead. It proved to be a prescient maneuver, as others were forced to wait to make their runs in behind. Indeed, one particular horse was basically shuffled out of the race around the turn, which brings us to our top choice…
…BULLHEADED BOY (#1) had good position racing along the inside, but he tried to follow the early move of Indebted and ended up getting steadied back to last place coming off the far turn. His race was essentially over at that point, but he nevertheless was running on late and galloped out with plenty of energy. With a clean trip, he can quite possibly turn the tables on Indebted.
Win bet on BULLHEADED BOY (#1).
Exactas: BULLHEADED BOY over Red Guard (#4) and Indebted (#8).