Five horses are running back out of the 6th race on November 8, including the top four finishers.
The one we prefer most is Sir Bond (#11), who had a somewhat uncomfortable trip racing between horses for much of the way and perhaps could have won if he had gotten out sooner. He loves a wet track and drew well outside of the other speeds. S’maverlous (#7) also was somewhat unlucky to lose last time after getting trapped on the inside in mid-stretch. He’s also worth using, though he figures to go off at a shorter price than Sir Bond.
The horse we’re somewhat against this time is the winner of that November 8 affair. Nubin Ridge (#4) may not be quite as effective over a wet track and has found six furlongs to be a tad too short in the past. He’s admirably consistent, but last time was when you wanted to have him, and he figures to offer less value today.
We’re going in a completely different direction for our top pick.
BRIDGET’S BIG LUVY (#3) returns from a 151-day break for Jeremiah Englehart, who gets a 96 rating with horses returning from layoffs. This horse got very good over the spring, earning speed figures that would make him competitive here in a couple of stakes outings. Despite his success going longer, we actually like that he’s turning back to the sprint distance over which he broke his maiden. It’s clear that he absolutely loves a wet track, and we feel that this three-year-old could make some noise here at a generous price.
WIN: BRIDGET’S BIG LUVY (#3)
EXACTA: Key BRIDGET’S BIG LUVY (#3) with S’maverlous (#7) and Sir Bond (#11)