Note: The goal of “On The Contrary” is to point out several horses every day who may be overlooked in the wagering and who can possibly add value to trifectas and superfectas (in high holes and low) and to Pick 3s, Pick 4s, etc. We will not be making “selections” per se in “On the Contrary.” Rather, we’ll encourage readers to give extra consideration to certain horses who may seem a little overmatched at first glance–but who are in fact the type of horses we often build our bets around. >>See related interview on betting longshots.
12-1 on ML:
Pace Projector has her in a nice stalking spot early. Back on grass, where we prefer her. Has competitive grass figures and gets in light for a terrific trainer. Trained well enough nine days ago.
Shake Things Up:
20-1 on ML:
Overmatched on paper and probably on the racetrack, as well, but projects to be on a clear early lead in this marathon, has a trainer who sends horses who ought to be sent, and may be able to put this field to sleep early and hang around to hit the super at giant odds.
Ninety One Assault:
8-1 on ML:
Visually impressive in debut, decent speed figure, and returned to train forwardly. Should be coming from behind in race projected to have a fast pace. Sufficient step forward not out of the question, and at a price.
15-1 on ML:
Throw out Keeneland fiasco, in which she was never happy, and she has a puncher’s chance to make a significant late run against these. Has reasonably competitive speed figures and has been training as if set for her best.
Has the top Early Pace rating in the field and may get brave at a price if showing second-out improvement for capable trainer who does not take money.