Note: The goal of “On The Contrary” is to point out several horses every day who may be overlooked in the wagering and who can possibly add value to trifectas and superfectas (in high holes and low) and to Pick 3s, Pick 4s, etc. We will not be making “selections” per se in “On the Contrary.” Rather, we’ll encourage readers to give extra consideration to certain horses who may seem a little overmatched at first glance–but who are in fact the type of horses we often build our bets around. >>See related interview on betting longshots.
8-1 on ML. Stalked a solid pace under a hold while taking dirt in a two-turn race. Had insufficient punch in the lane. Cuts back for this. Adds blinkers, which we dislike on principle but can live with if it means he’ll be sent from the gate. Pace Projector shows him in third-place early in a race favoring speed. Has the best last-out speed figure in the field. Goes first off the claim for a trainer who is effective off the claim but does his winning at Los Al. Mixed signals. Need price.
6-1 on ML. Promising debut, followed by excellent workout and switch to Bejarano, who gets 96 rating with this trainer.
6-1 on ML. We thought he was a contender in the Del Mar Handicap. Earned a 118 second off the layoff while no real threat. Outstanding trainer has put three more works into him and switches to Bejarano. Draws perfectly.
5-1 on ML. Nice pattern of speed figures, good timing into the race, and training up a storm for R Mandella.