The horse we want to try to beat them with is #2 Sequiota. Sequiota didn’t break her maiden until her 7th career start, but she had hinted at ability earlier, and she really appeared to break through in that February 13th race. That was her third start off the layoff, and she was stretched out to 9 furlongs that day by the excellent Tom Proctor. Sequiota was an impressive winner that day, with a new TFUS Speed Figure top of 94. She has since run in a pair of slow-paced routes (note Pace Figures/fractions shaded blue for her starts on both March 18 and April 24) while failing to be a late threat, but she was once again finishing well over 9 furlongs at Keeneland last time, despite the poor setup, while earning another new career top figure of 105.
Sequiota will be taking on an added furlong as she makes her NY debut today, but we have preferred her longer races to her shorter ones, and we think she has found a field that she can compete with today at what should be a fair price.