#5 I Want You to Know is not exactly the most likely winner on today’s card at Aqueduct. However, at a price near his 8/1 ML, he may well be worth including in your play.
I Want You to Know gets a turn-back to a more favorable distance today. A 5-time winner in his career, he has posted two of those wins over this 7-furlong distance and two others at a one-turn mile. Not only does he seem to be a horse for whom shorter is better, but he is exiting a series of races in which he had taken the worst of things trip-wise.
As is made clear from looking at TFUS PPs, I Want You To Know exits a pair of 1 1/16 races at Belmont in which he was caught up contesting fast paces (note pace figures/fractions shaded in red). One race prior to those fast-paced Belmont efforts, he was sent 7 furlongs at Saratoga. Unfortunately for him, he was racing over a strongly inside-speed-favoring track (note Race Rating box shaded red) and was stuck wide throughout.
If you can get past those races, you wind up looking at a series of races in which he earned TFUS Speed Figures of 90-80-92-91-91-84-77-84-92-88-86. In other words, a consistent string of races that will make him competitive with what ML favorite B Shanny has been running lately (figures of 74-93-88-86 for last 4 races).