Santa Anita Top Play: Dirtied Up Form for Gospel Music

dontjustsantaanita75 getitnow75

Santa Anita / June 29th / Race 7  / 4:10 Local Time:

Let’s end this Santa Anita meet with 11 cheap maiden claimers going 6.5 furlongs on the dirt.

Gospel Music had an atrocious trip in his last start (though no mention of this is made in the result chart). To borrow a phrase from our colleague Mike Beer, his form was dirtied up something awful in this race.

For openers, he was bumped hard at the start, which prevented him from showing his usual early speed. Then he recovered and got himself into the race. Then, apparently perturbed by something (Lord knows what; he is being characteristically mute about the matter), he dropped back. Then he made a long wide run–right into the teeth of a speed bias, a pro-rail bias, and the general flow of the race, which rather resembled a match race between yachts.
Screen Shot 2014-06-29 at 2.48.32 PM
For this effort he received a speed figure of 67, which is nothing special in this field. But we feel he was incapable of running anything like his best in this race. Indeed, we feel it’s necessary to go back to April 19th to get a good read on this horse, and in that race, he received a speed figure of 79, which is a serious number in today’s context.

According to the TFUS Pace Projector, Gospel Music will be on the early lead today. But should that scenario fail to come to fruition, he has already proven himself capable of running well from behind. And his trainer, Peter Miller, is decent off the claim, hot of late, and in possession of a 100 rating in this sort of maiden claimer. At 4-1 on the morning line, Gospel Music is our selection.

The play:

Win bet on Gospel Music.

Use Gospel Music in exotics under and over Malibu Colony (who has been training well, off the layoff, for an underrated trainer), Vavoom (who has been training well, off the layoff, for an underrated trainer), and Play Maker (whose morning line odds seem a trifle high here).

 

This entry was posted in Race Previews. Bookmark the permalink.

Thoughts?

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s