Belmont Top Play: It’s in Race 1, and it’s a horse who “pops” on our bias indicators

belmont75 getitnow75

Belmont Park / June 28 / Race 1 /  1:20 EDT:

#5 Round returns today to make his three-year-old debut for trainer Bill Mott, and this is a situation where we think we have a chance to get a horse, at a price, who is much better than his two-year-old debut makes him look.

Round debuted on September 21st at Belmont Park, a day on which the races were dominated by horses who had speed and raced on the rail. (Note that the Race Rating box is color-coded in dark red, which denotes a strong speed bias.) Unfortunately for Round, he was drawn out in post #7 in a field of 8 and never got anywhere near the inside. In fact, he was out in a three-to-four-wide trip all the way around the racetrack. He still raced gamely down to the finish, but could get to neither the rail-riding, front-running winner nor a horse who raced on the inside through the stretch and ultimately finished second, a horse named Wicked Strong.

round

Round will have to be ready to go off the layoff today, but he ran well in his debut, which suggests that he can get fit off of workouts alone, and Bill Mott gets a terrific rating of 91 with layoffs of this approximate length. Round gets lasix for the first time today, and we believe he is quite a bit better than he looks on paper.

The play:

Win bet on Round.

Key Round in the early multi-race exotics.

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