Morning Line Favorites Look Vulnerable in 4th at Santa Anita

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Saturday May 24  – Santa Anita

Get Santa Anita PPs for Saturday

Race Four
Scheduled local post time 2:32pm 

The favorites on the morning line in this maiden claimer are Spoiledandentitled (#6, 7-2) and Peg’s Journey (#8, 3-1), and both of them look quite vulnerable to us.

Screen Shot 2014-05-24 at 2.09.17 PMSpoiledandentitled returns from a 330-day layoff for Julio Canani, who, his greatness notwithstanding, gets a Trainer Rating of only 60 off layoffs. More important, according to the clockers, Spoiledandentitled has not been training like a filly who is ready to run her best race today. What is more, her very best speed figure, a 72, would very likely not get it done in here. And the Pace Projector shows her in last place early. We do not like Spoiledandentitled at all.

Peg’s Journey is a first-time starter going for trainer Hector Palma, who gets an
atrocious rating of 16 with firsters. In addition, Peg’s Journey’s Pedigree Rating is a mere 51. And Peg’s Journey has not been training well for her debut. We do not like Peg’s Journey at all (and we suspect that she will go off well above her morning line odds of 3-1).

Warren’s Tricia R (#3, 4-1) will be making the fourth start of her career today. She is fresh off a Screen Shot 2014-05-24 at 2.13.59 PMspeed figure of 79, which is, by a nice margin, the best last-out figure in the race. She earned the figure chasing Fly to Freedom, who blitzed the field in front-running fashion. The Pace Projector shows Warren’s Tricia R. in second-place early today. She is our selection.

The play:

Win bet on Warren’s Tricia R.

Use Warren’s Tricia R. in exactas over and under Clever Expansion (#7, 5-1, who makes an interesting surface switch) and the longshot La Brisa (#2, 15-1), who is training well and dropping in class.

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