The TimeformUS Spotlight Speed Figure is found by analyzing each horse’s recent races. Taking into account the distance and surface of a horse’s three most recent races, we find what we believe to be the most representative speed figure for today’s race.
In a recent study, the horse with the highest Spotlight Speed Figure won 29.5% of the time. The horse with the highest Spotlight Speed Figure ran first, second or third 63.1% of the time.
The study looked at 9,190 races between March 15 and June 11, 2013. The data can be found by clicking here. Note that races where at least one horse did not have a Spotlight Speed Figure (often races with First Time Starters or European Shippers) were excluded from the study. Also note that we are continuing to look for ways to refine this study, and we welcome your suggestions in the comments section below.
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